From the booth

The model favored TEX to win, and the call landed.

Texas has got this one locked down at ninety-six percent to win, and honestly it's not even close. The Longhorns are a twenty-nine-and-a-half point favorite here, and that Vegas number is doing most of the heavy lifting in this model. You're looking at a top-five team in the country taking on an unranked opponent in a game that looks like a mismatch on paper, and the betting market agrees it's Texas all the way.