Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETKyle Field, College StationPrime time
Missouri State
MOST · 0-0
3%
Win probability
#8Texas A&M
TA&M · 0-0
97%
Win probability
MOSTTA&M
Spread
TA&M -40.5
Moneyline
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Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
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Venue
Kyle Field · College Station
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
From the booth
Texas A&M's got this one locked down at 97% to win, and honestly, it's not even close. The Aggies are a Top 10 team in the AP poll facing an unranked opponent, Vegas has them laying over 40 points, and the betting market's backing that in a big way. Missouri State's got that 3% chance, and they're gonna need to play lights out on both sides of the ball to steal this one, but everything here points to a dominant A&M performance at home.
Why the model leans TA&M
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Missouri State: MOST+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games