Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 7:45 PM ETJordan-Hare Stadium, AuburnPrime timeFinal
Southern Miss
USM · 1-0
8
Final
Auburn
AUB · 1-0
43
Final
Model called it
Spread
AUB -32.5
Moneyline
USM +2200 / AUB -8000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
80.6°F · 3 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:45 PM ET
Final
USM 8 / AUB 43
From the booth
The model favored AUB to win, and the call landed.
Auburn's got this one locked up at 96 percent to win, and honestly, there's not much mystery here. The Tigers are getting a massive 32.5-point cushion from Vegas, and that spread is doing the heavy lifting in this matchup. Southern Miss is gonna need to play a near-perfect game to pull off one of the biggest upsets of the season, but the models say the Golden Eagles have just a four percent shot at it.
Why the model leans AUB
- Favors Auburn: AUB+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Auburn: AUB+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Southern Miss: USM+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games