Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 5:30 PM ETBen Hill Griffin Stadium, GainesvilleFinal
Campbell
CAM · 0-0
3
Final
Florida
FLA · 1-0
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
FLA -50.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 66.5
Weather
84.2°F · 3.8 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:30 PM ET
Final
CAM 3 / FLA 52
From the booth
The model favored FLA to win, and the call landed.
Florida's got this one locked up, folks, and we're looking at a 99 percent win probability for the Gators at home. Campbell's coming in as a significant underdog with Vegas laying 50 and a half, and when you combine that massive spread with Florida's Elo rating advantage, there's really no mystery here. The Gators have also been playing better down the stretch with a strong point differential over their last five games. This one figures to be a statement win for Todd Richt's team, plain and simple.
Why the model leans FLA
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida: FLATeam rating (Elo) edge