Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ETMichigan Stadium, Ann ArborFinal
#11Oklahoma
OU · 1-0
10
Final
Michigan
MICH · 1-0
17
Final
Model missed
Spread
OU -4.5
Moneyline
OU -200 / MICH +168
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
74.6°F · 10.2 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
OU 10 / MICH 17
From the booth
The model favored OU to win, and the call missed.
Oklahoma's got this one favored slightly at 53 percent, and the betting market is backing that call across the board. Michigan's been playing better offensive football over their last five games, but Oklahoma's got the momentum overall and Vegas has them favored by four and a half. This is a classic flip-a-coin type of matchup where you're essentially picking your poison, but the Sooners are just barely on the right side of this one.
Why the model leans OU
- Favors Oklahoma: OU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Oklahoma: OU+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games