From the booth

The model favored ALA to win, and the call landed.

Alabama's got this one locked up, sitting at an 88 percent win probability, and you can see why. The model's got the Crimson Tide favored by nearly 20 points, and that spreads throughout everything you're looking at. Now, Florida State's not completely dead in the water here, their defense has shown some life over the last five games, but Alabama's been the more consistent team recently and that's what this matchup comes down to.