Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ETVaught-Hemingway Stadium, OxfordPrime timeConference gameFinal
#7LSU
LSU · 2-0
24
Final
#8Ole Miss
MISS · 2-0
32
Final
Model missed
Spread
LSU -2.5
Moneyline
LSU -146 / MISS +124
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
LSU 24 / MISS 32
From the booth
The model favored LSU to win, and the call missed.
LSU's got the edge here at 56 percent win probability, and you can see why. The Tigers are favored by a field goal and a half on the road, they've been more efficient on offense over their last five games, and they've put together better results in that same stretch. This is a heavyweight SEC battle between two top-ten teams, but the model likes the seventh-ranked Tigers to steal one in Oxford.
Why the model leans LSU
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games