Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:45 PM ETNeyland Stadium, KnoxvillePrime timeFinal
Kennesaw State
KENN · 1-1
9
Final
#15Tennessee
TENN · 2-0
42
Final
Model called it
Spread
TENN -35.5
Moneyline
KENN +2200 / TENN -8000
Total
O/U 59.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Neyland Stadium · Knoxville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:45 PM ET
Final
KENN 9 / TENN 42
From the booth
The model favored TENN to win, and the call landed.
Tennessee's got this one locked down at 97 percent, and there's really no mystery why. The Vegas line's got the Vols as a 35 and a half point favorite, the betting market's all in on Tennessee, and there's a significant gap in poll standing between a ranked Volunteer team and an unranked Kennesaw State squad. This is chalk, folks. That's a mismatch you can set your watch to.
Why the model leans TENN
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.07Vegas point spread
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Kennesaw State: KENN+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games