Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ETKyle Field, College StationConference gameFinal
Kentucky
UK · 1-1
31
Final
#9Texas A&M
TA&M · 2-0
21
Final
Model missed
Spread
TA&M -16.5
Moneyline
UK +680 / TA&M -1100
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Kyle Field · College Station
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
UK 31 / TA&M 21
From the booth
The model favored TA&M to win, and the call missed.
Texas A&M is sitting pretty with a 92 percent win probability here, and when you look at the numbers it makes all the sense in the world. The Aggies are getting a huge Vegas line at 16 and a half, they're ranked ninth in the country while Kentucky's unranked, and frankly A&M's just been the better team over their last five games. This is a classic SEC mismatch where the home-field advantage and superior talent give the Aggies a stranglehold on this one.
Why the model leans TA&M
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&MPoint differential, last 5 games