From the booth

The model favored TEX to win, and the call landed.

Texas comes in as the favorite here with a fifty-nine percent win probability, and you can see why, folks. The Longhorns are getting about five and a half points from Vegas, they've got the better Elo rating, and the betting market is clearly backing the number one team in the country over a ranked Tennessee squad. The Volunteers are sitting at forty-one percent, which tells you this is a classic case of a really good home team trying to pull off an upset against the best team in the nation in a hostile Neyland Stadium environment.