Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 12:45 PM ETSanford Stadium, AthensConference gameFinal
Vanderbilt
VAN · 3-1
14
Final
#2Georgia
UGA · 4-0
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
UGA -25.5
Moneyline
VAN +1400 / UGA -3200
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
81.1°F · 4.4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Sanford Stadium · Athens
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:45 PM ET
Final
VAN 14 / UGA 38
From the booth
The model favored UGA to win, and the call landed.
Georgia rolls into this SEC matchup undefeated and ranked 2, fresh off a 41-13 blowout of Oklahoma at home. Vanderbilt has won 3 but just lost to Auburn on the road. The model backs the Bulldogs at 94%, well beyond the 25.5-point spread, leaning on Georgia's dominant recent scoring and the betting market's confidence in the elite talent here.
Why the model leans UGA
- Favors Georgia: UGA+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Georgia: UGA+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Vanderbilt: VAN+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games