Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETMemorial Stadium, ColumbiaConference gameFinal
#8Florida
FLA · 4-0
17
Final
#25Missouri
MIZ · 3-1
45
Final
Model missed
Spread
FLA -5.5
Moneyline
FLA -218 / MIZ +180
Total
O/U 57.5
Weather
71.5°F · 5.4 mph · Clear
Venue
Memorial Stadium · Columbia
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
FLA 17 / MIZ 45
From the booth
The model favored FLA to win, and the call missed.
Florida's unbeaten and rolling, while Missouri just took a loss to Mississippi State. The Gators are averaging 49.3 points over their last 3, and our model backs them at 61% to win. Vegas agrees, laying Florida 5.5 points, with the market and our season-long strength rating both favoring the Gators on the road in Columbia.
Why the model leans FLA
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge