Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETNeyland Stadium, KnoxvilleConference gameFinal
Auburn
AUB · 3-1
14
Final
#17Tennessee
TENN · 3-1
24
Final
Model called it
Spread
TENN -6.5
Moneyline
AUB +210 / TENN -258
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
76.8°F · 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Neyland Stadium · Knoxville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
AUB 14 / TENN 24
From the booth
The model favored TENN to win, and the call landed.
Auburn comes to Neyland as a ranked matchup in the SEC, but Tennessee bounces back after a loss to Texas. The Volunteers are at 77% in our model, slightly ahead of the 6.5-point market edge. Tennessee's offensive efficiency and poll standing drive the pick, though Auburn beat Vanderbilt 21-15 at home last time out.
Why the model leans TENN
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.02AP poll standing edge
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games