Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ETBryant-Denny Stadium, TuscaloosaPrime timeConference gameFinal
#2Georgia
UGA · 5-0
20
Final
#6Alabama
ALA · 5-0
17
Final
Model called it
Spread
ALA -1.5
Moneyline
UGA +104 / ALA -125
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
64.6°F · 11.2 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
UGA 20 / ALA 17
From the booth
The model favored UGA to win, and the call landed.
Top-2 SEC matchup Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. Both teams roll in unbeaten, but Georgia's defense is stifling and the Bulldogs just beat Alabama 28-7 last time out. Our model edges Georgia at 56%, while the market leans slightly the other way, favoring Alabama by 1.5. Offensive efficiency and point differential back the Bulldogs here.
Why the model leans UGA
- Favors Alabama: ALA+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Alabama: ALA+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Georgia: UGA+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games