Week 1 slate
Week 1Thu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ETFBC Mortgage Stadium, OrlandoPrime timeFinal
Bethune-Cookman
BCU · 0-0
6
Final
UCF
UCF · 0-0
73
Final
Model called it
Spread
UCF -42.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando
Kickoff
Thu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
BCU 6 / UCF 73
From the booth
The model favored UCF to win, and the call landed.
UCF's got this one locked up at 99 percent, and it's not even close. The Knights are massive favorites at 42 and a half points, they've got the superior Elo rating, and the betting market is fully in on them here. Bethune-Cookman's looking at just a one percent shot, so unless something goes completely sideways, we're expecting a one-sided affair in Orlando tonight.
Why the model leans UCF
- Favors UCF: UCF+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors UCF: UCF+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors UCF: UCF+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge