Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ETMountain America Stadium, TempePrime timeFinal
Morgan State
MORG · 0-0
7
Final
Arizona State
ASU · 0-0
70
Final
Model called it
Spread
ASU -43.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Final
MORG 7 / ASU 70
From the booth
The model favored ASU to win, and the call landed.
Arizona State's got this one locked up at 99 percent, and it's not even close. The Sun Devils are a complete class above Morgan State here, with Vegas laying nearly 44 points and the betting markets pounding the home side. ASU's got the talent edge, they've been playing good football over their last five, and everything about this matchup screams one-way traffic from start to finish.
Why the model leans ASU
- Favors Arizona State: ASU+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Arizona State: ASU+0.00Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arizona State: ASU+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge