From the booth

The model favored IOWA to win, and the call landed.

Iowa's looking like a heavy favorite in this one, sitting at an 82 percent win probability, and the model likes what it's seeing here. The Vegas line's got the Hawkeyes favored by 13 and a half, the betting market's backing that in a big way, and Iowa's been solid on the defensive side of the ball over their last five games. Iowa State's offense has been a little inconsistent recently, so the Cyclones are gonna have their hands full moving the ball on a Hawkeye defense that knows how to bend without breaking.