Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ETRice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake CityFinal
Utah State
USU · 0-2
0
Final
#17Utah
UTAH · 2-0
33
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTAH -26.5
Moneyline
USU +1600 / UTAH -4500
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
USU 0 / UTAH 33
From the booth
The model favored UTAH to win, and the call landed.
Utah's got this one locked down, and the model likes the Utes at 97 percent to win. You're talking about a 26-and-a-half-point spread here, Vegas is laying heavy wood, and when you factor in Utah's offensive efficiency and momentum over their last five games, there's just not much daylight for Utah State to work with. This is a matchup between a ranked Power Two team and an unranked Group of Five opponent, and frankly, that gap shows up in every corner of the data.
Why the model leans UTAH
- Favors Utah: UTAH+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Utah: UTAH+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Utah: UTAH+0.00Point differential, last 5 games