Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 10:30 PM ETMountain America Stadium, TempePrime timeFinal
Hawai'i
HAW · 1-4
12
Final
Arizona State
ASU · 2-2
30
Final
Model called it
Spread
N/A
Moneyline
N/A
Total
N/A
Weather
82.4°F · 8.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 10:30 PM ET
Final
HAW 12 / ASU 30
From the booth
The model favored ASU to win, and the call landed.
Arizona State stumbled bad at home to Baylor, 55-19, and now hosts Hawai'i on Saturday night looking to steady the ship. The Sun Devils have been leaky on defense, yielding 40 points per game over their last 3. Our model leans Arizona State at 63%, backed by their season-long team strength rating, though Hawai'i's efficiency metrics give them a puncher's chance in this nonconference matchup.
Why the model leans ASU
- Favors Hawai'i: HAW+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Hawai'i: HAW+0.01Point differential, last 5 games
- Favors Arizona State: ASU+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge