From the booth

The model favored KU to win, and the call missed.

Kansas is sitting pretty here in Lawrence with an eighty-one percent win probability, and that's despite Vegas actually giving Arizona State a tick on the spread. The Jayhawks have been stingy on defense over their last five games, and that's the backbone of what's got them favored in this Big 12 battle. Look, the betting markets aren't exactly screaming confidence either way, but Kansas's defensive metrics are what's carrying the load in this matchup.