Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ETAmon G. Carter Stadium, Fort WorthPrime timeConference gameFinal
#10BYU
BYU · 3-0
17
Final
TCU
TCU · 2-2
10
Final
Model called it
Spread
BYU -6
Moneyline
BYU -230 / TCU +190
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
73.9°F · 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
BYU 17 / TCU 10
From the booth
The model favored BYU to win, and the call landed.
BYU rolls in unbeaten at 3-0 after a bye week, while TCU is reeling at 2-2 following a road loss to UCF. Our model backs the Cougars at 67%, agreeing with a market that has them favored by 6. BYU's offense is clicking for 44 points per game, and the rest advantage gives them the edge in a Big 12 matchup Saturday night in Fort Worth.
Why the model leans BYU
- Favors BYU: BYU+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors BYU: BYU+0.08Betting-market win probability
- Favors BYU: BYU+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games