Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00 PM ETArizona Stadium, TucsonPrime timeConference gameFinal
Cincinnati
CIN · 4-0
7
Final
Arizona
ARIZ · 3-1
34
Final
Model called it
Spread
ARIZ -6.5
Moneyline
CIN +198 / ARIZ -245
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
80.1°F · 13.1 mph · Clear
Venue
Arizona Stadium · Tucson
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00 PM ET
Final
CIN 7 / ARIZ 34
From the booth
The model favored ARIZ to win, and the call landed.
Cincinnati rolls in undefeated at 4-0, but Arizona has won 2 straight and owns the head-to-head edge from last year. The model backs the Wildcats at 75%, betting the market's 6.5-point line and Arizona's point differential advantage. The Bearcats' offense is humming at 42.7 points per game, yet the Wildcats' defense has tightened up lately, holding opponents to 23.0 over the last 3.
Why the model leans ARIZ
- Favors Arizona: ARIZ+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arizona: ARIZ+0.03Point differential, last 5 games
- Favors Arizona: ARIZ+0.01Vegas point spread