Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ETFolsom Field, BoulderPrime timeConference gameFinal
#12Texas Tech
TTU · 4-0
29
Final
Colorado
COLO · 2-2
7
Final
Model called it
Spread
TTU -13.5
Moneyline
TTU -530 / COLO +390
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
76.9°F · 11.4 mph · Clear
Venue
Folsom Field · Boulder
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
TTU 29 / COLO 7
From the booth
The model favored TTU to win, and the call landed.
Colorado heads to Boulder looking to stop the bleeding after losing 2 straight, but Texas Tech comes in undefeated and ranked 12th. The Red Raiders are putting up 37.3 points per game over their last 3 while holding opponents to 21.3. Our model backs Texas Tech at 81%, well ahead of a market laying 13.5 on the road.
Why the model leans TTU
- Favors Texas Tech: TTU+0.15Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas Tech: TTU+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors Texas Tech: TTU+0.04Team rating (Elo) edge