Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ETBoone Pickens Stadium, StillwaterConference gameFinal
UCF
UCF · 3-2
28
Final
#18Oklahoma State
OKST · 3-1
42
Final
Model called it
Spread
OKST -10.5
Moneyline
UCF +285 / OKST -365
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
78.6°F · 11 mph · Clear
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
UCF 28 / OKST 42
From the booth
The model favored OKST to win, and the call landed.
Oklahoma State rolls into Stillwater on a 3-game winning streak, averaging over 46 points in that span, while UCF just dropped one to Houston on the road. The Cowboys are favored by 10.5 and our model backs that lean at 77%, pointing to Oklahoma State's rest edge and the betting market's confidence. UCF upset the Cowboys 17-14 last time out, but the market and our numbers say the fresher, hotter team takes this one.
Why the model leans OKST
- Favors Oklahoma State: OKST+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors Oklahoma State: OKST+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors UCF: UCF+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge