Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ETAcrisure Stadium, PittsburghFinal
Miami (OH)
M-OH · 0-0
14
Final
Pittsburgh
PITT · 0-0
59
Final
Model called it
Spread
PITT -16.5
Moneyline
M-OH +550 / PITT -800
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ET
Final
M-OH 14 / PITT 59
From the booth
The model favored PITT to win, and the call landed.
Pitt comes in as a heavy favorite here at 92 percent to beat Miami of Ohio, and the model's got it locked in based on what Vegas is telling us with that 16.5-point spread. The Panthers' defense has been stingy over their last five games, and that's a huge factor when you're facing a Mid-American Conference opponent. This late in the season, Pitt's got the experience edge too, and all of that adds up to one lopsided matchup on paper.
Why the model leans PITT
- Favors Pittsburgh: PITT+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Pittsburgh: PITT+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Pittsburgh: PITTDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games