Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ETCalifornia Memorial Stadium, BerkeleyPrime timeFinal
UCLA
UCLA · 0-0
45
Final
California
CAL · 0-0
24
Final
Model missed
Spread
UCLA -2.5
Moneyline
UCLA -122 / CAL +104
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET
Final
UCLA 45 / CAL 24
From the booth
The model favored CAL to win, and the call missed.
UCLA's got this one right on the line, folks. The Bruins are favored by two and a half, and the betting market agrees, but don't sleep on Cal here. The Bears have been playing better football over their last five games, and that recent momentum combined with the home-field advantage at Berkeley pulls this one almost dead even. It's a pick 'em game, plain and simple, but we're giving a razor-thin edge to the Bruins at 46 percent.
Why the model leans CAL
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors California: CAL+0.04Point differential, last 5 games
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.03Betting-market win probability