Week 1 slate
Week 1Mon, Sep 7 · 7:30 PM ETDoak Campbell Stadium, TallahasseePrime timeConference gameFinal
#19SMU
SMU · 0-0
27
Final
Florida State
FSU · 1-0
24
Final
Model called it
Spread
SMU -3
Moneyline
SMU -155 / FSU +130
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee
Kickoff
Mon, Sep 7 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
SMU 27 / FSU 24
From the booth
The model favored SMU to win, and the call landed.
SMU's got this one favored at 57 percent, and you can see why, folks. The Mustangs have got the rest advantage and they're coming in hot with a better point differential over their last five games, and Vegas has them favored by three at Florida State. It's a ranked team visiting Tallahassee in an ACC battle, and FSU's gonna have to play a complete game to pull off the upset.
Why the model leans SMU
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.03Rest advantage