Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), ChampaignFinal
Duke
DUKE · 1-0
31
Final
Illinois
ILL · 1-0
27
Final
Model missed
Spread
ILL -6
Moneyline
DUKE +195 / ILL -238
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
83.7°F · 7.5 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) · Champaign
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
DUKE 31 / ILL 27
From the booth
The model favored ILL to win, and the call missed.
Illinois is favored here at 62 percent to get the win, and the model likes what it sees from the Illini at home. The betting market and Vegas point spread both agree on Illinois, giving the home team the edge, though Duke's got some recent offensive momentum that keeps this one from being a complete blowout. The Blue Devils will need to execute early and often to pull off the upset, but everything right now points to Illinois controlling this one in Champaign.
Why the model leans ILL
- Favors Illinois: ILL+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Illinois: ILL+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Duke: DUKE+0.01Point in the season