Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ETKenan Stadium, Chapel HillFinal
East Tennessee State
ETSU · 0-0
3
Final
North Carolina
UNC · 1-0
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNC -36.5
Moneyline
ETSU +4000 / UNC -30000
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
80.3°F · 4.2 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
ETSU 3 / UNC 35
From the booth
The model favored UNC to win, and the call landed.
North Carolina is going to walk into this one as a massive favorite, sitting at 99 percent win probability, and it's really not even close. The Tar Heels have got a huge talent advantage here, they're dominating the Vegas spread at 36 and a half points, and the betting markets are backing that in a big way. East Tennessee State's looking for an upset, sure, but they're sitting at just 1 percent to pull it off. This one figures to be a coronation in Chapel Hill.
Why the model leans UNC
- Favors North Carolina: UNC+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors North Carolina: UNC+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors North Carolina: UNCTeam rating (Elo) edge