Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00 PM ETScott Stadium, CharlottesvilleFinal
Delaware
DEL · 2-1
3
Final
Virginia
UVA · 2-1
42
Final
Model called it
Spread
UVA -19.5
Moneyline
DEL +800 / UVA -1400
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Scott Stadium · Charlottesville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00 PM ET
Final
DEL 3 / UVA 42
From the booth
The model favored UVA to win, and the call landed.
Virginia comes in as a heavy favorite here at 87 percent to win, and the Vegas market is backing that up with the Hoos laying nearly 20 points at home. The spread and betting sentiment are strongly in UVA's corner, though Delaware's defense has been respectable over their last five games and Virginia's offense hasn't been lighting it up lately, so don't sleep on some Delaware fight here. But make no mistake, this is Virginia's game to lose in Charlottesville.
Why the model leans UVA
- Favors Virginia: UVA+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Virginia: UVA+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Delaware: DELDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games