Week 6 slate
Week 6Fri, Oct 9 · 7:00 PM ETL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, LouisvillePrime timeConference gameFinal
Florida State
FSU · 3-2
20
Final
Louisville
LOU · 2-3
44
Final
Model called it
Spread
LOU -3.5
Moneyline
FSU +150 / LOU -180
Total
O/U 59.5
Weather
78.2°F · 6.4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville
Kickoff
Fri, Oct 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
FSU 20 / LOU 44
From the booth
The model favored LOU to win, and the call landed.
Friday night in the ACC, and Florida State walks in hot off back-to-back wins while Louisville is skidding. The Seminoles just beat Virginia 38-7 at home and are holding teams to 21.3 points over their last 3. Our model likes the Cardinals at 64%, and that lines up with the market laying 3.5 points at home. Louisville's season-long strength is carrying them here despite the 2-game slide.
Why the model leans LOU
- Favors Louisville: LOU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Louisville: LOU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida State: FSU+0.01Point differential, last 5 games