Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), BloomingtonFinal
North Texas
UNT · 0-0
16
Final
#6Indiana
IU · 0-0
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
IU -40.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
UNT 16 / IU 52
From the booth
The model favored IU to win, and the call landed.
Indiana's looking at a 97 percent win probability here, and that's pretty much case closed. The Hoosiers have got the poll pedigree, they're ranked sixth coming in, and Vegas has them as near 41-point favorites. North Texas is gonna need to pull off one of the great upsets we've seen in a while to get out of Bloomington with this one.
Why the model leans IU
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.07Vegas point spread
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors North Texas: UNT+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games