Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ETBeaver Stadium, University ParkFinal
Marshall
MRSH · 0-0
0
Final
#18Penn State
PSU · 0-0
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
PSU -23.5
Moneyline
MRSH +1200 / PSU -2400
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Beaver Stadium · University Park
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
MRSH 0 / PSU 45
From the booth
The model favored PSU to win, and the call landed.
Penn State's got this one written all over it, sitting at 92 percent to win. The Nittany Lions are getting all the respect here: Vegas has them as nearly a four-touchdown favorite at 23 and a half, and that spread is backed up by their superior defense over the last five games and a better overall point differential in that stretch. Marshall's the clear underdog at just 8 percent, but hey, that's why they play the games.
Why the model leans PSU
- Favors Penn State: PSU+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Penn State: PSU+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Penn State: PSU+0.00Point differential, last 5 games