Week 1 slate
Week 1Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM ETRoss-Ade Stadium, West LafayettePrime timeFinal
Indiana State
INST · 0-0
19
Final
Purdue
PUR · 0-0
44
Final
Model called it
Spread
PUR -36.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
INST 19 / PUR 44
From the booth
The model favored PUR to win, and the call landed.
Purdue's got this locked down at 99 percent to win, and honestly, there's not much suspense here. The Boilermakers are getting a massive 36.5 point spread at home, and they've got the edge in both offensive efficiency and defensive performance over their last five games. Indiana State's coming in as a massive underdog at just one percent, and when you combine the spread, the betting market, and Purdue's recent form, the Boilermakers are gonna roll.
Why the model leans PUR
- Favors Purdue: PUR+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Purdue: PUR+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Purdue: PUR+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games