Week 1 slate
Week 1Fri, Sep 4 · 9:00 PM ETLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los AngelesPrime time
Fresno State
FRES · 0-0
11%
Win probability
#14USC
USC · 0-0
89%
Win probability
FRESUSC
Spread
USC -22.5
Moneyline
FRES -100000 / USC -3500
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
—
Venue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 4 · 9:00 PM ET
From the booth
Well folks, the model's got USC as a heavy favorite here at 89% to win, and you can see why. The Trojans come in ranked 14th in the country while Fresno State's unranked, and Vegas has got this one lined at 22 and a half points in USC's favor. Now the Bulldogs aren't without a chance at just 11%, but they're gonna need to find a way to buck that talent gap and recent form.
Why the model leans USC
- Favors USC: USC+0.15Vegas point spread
- Favors Fresno State: FRES+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors USC: USC+0.01AP poll standing edge
- FRES