Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ETSpartan Stadium, East LansingFinal
Eastern Michigan
EMU · 1-1
7
Final
Michigan State
MSU · 1-0
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
MSU -17.5
Moneyline
EMU +640 / MSU -1000
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
79.8°F · 11.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Spartan Stadium · East Lansing
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
EMU 7 / MSU 35
From the booth
The model favored MSU to win, and the call landed.
Michigan State comes in as a heavy favorite at 92 percent to win this one, and the oddsmakers agree with that assessment, laying 17 and a half points in favor of the Spartans. The Vegas line and the betting market are both aligned here, giving MSU the edge, though we do have to note that Eastern Michigan's shown a little juice on offense over their last five games. Still, when you've got a 17-point spread and Spartan Nation at home, you like MSU's chances to put this one away early.
Why the model leans MSU
- Favors Michigan State: MSU+0.10Vegas point spread
- Favors Michigan State: MSU+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Eastern Michigan: EMUOffensive EPA/play, last 5 games