Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 2:00 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), ChampaignFinal
Southern Illinois
SIU · 0-0
10
Final
Illinois
ILL · 1-1
48
Final
Model called it
Spread
ILL -38.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) · Champaign
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:00 PM ET
Final
SIU 10 / ILL 48
From the booth
The model favored ILL to win, and the call landed.
Illinois is absolutely favored here at 99 percent to win, and honestly, when you look at the board, this matchup is about as lopsided as it gets. Vegas has them laying 38 and a half points, the Elo ratings show a significant class difference, and the betting market is locked in on the home team. Southern Illinois is gonna need to pull off something miraculous to stay competitive in this one.
Why the model leans ILL
- Favors Illinois: ILL+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Illinois: ILL+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Illinois: ILL+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge