Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:15 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), LincolnPrime timeFinal
North Dakota
UND · 0-0
7
Final
Nebraska
NEB · 2-0
34
Final
Model called it
Spread
NEB -25.5
Moneyline
UND +1600 / NEB -4500
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · Lincoln
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:15 PM ET
Final
UND 7 / NEB 34
From the booth
The model favored NEB to win, and the call landed.
Nebraska's got this one locked down, folks. The Huskers are sitting at a 98 percent win probability, and the numbers tell you exactly why. Vegas has them at plus 25 and a half, the Cornhuskers' Elo rating is superior, and they've been moving the ball effectively on offense over their last five games. This is a mismatch on paper, and North Dakota's gonna need something special to pull off the upset.
Why the model leans NEB
- Favors Nebraska: NEB+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Nebraska: NEB+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Nebraska: NEB+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge