Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ETSHI Stadium, PiscatawayConference gameFinal
#12USC
USC · 3-0
42
Final
Rutgers
RUTG · 0-2
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
USC -21.5
Moneyline
USC -2500 / RUTG +1060
Total
O/U 57.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
SHI Stadium · Piscataway
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
USC 42 / RUTG 35
From the booth
The model favored USC to win, and the call landed.
USC's got this one locked up and loaded. The Trojans are sitting at 94 percent win probability, and you can see why, because they're a top-15 team in the country with a significant Elo advantage, and Vegas has them favored by three touchdowns. Rutgers is fighting an uphill battle here in a Big Ten matchup where the numbers just don't favor the home team, folks. This one's got all the makings of a statement win for the Trojans.
Why the model leans USC
- Favors USC: USC+0.10Vegas point spread
- Favors USC: USC+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors USC: USC+0.02Team rating (Elo) edge