

Model called it
The model favored IU to win, and the call landed.
Indiana's got this one locked down at 95 percent to win, and look, the data's pretty much saying the same thing across the board. Vegas has 'em as 20 and a half point favorites, the market's aligned with that, and the Hoosiers have simply been the better team over their last five games. Northwestern's coming in as a real underdog here, and even though they've got a slight edge in offensive efficiency lately, it's nowhere near enough to overcome what Indiana's been putting together as a top five team in this Big Ten matchup.
Model vcfb-1.0.0 · predicted Sep 25, 2026 · not betting advice