Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00 PM ETHusky Stadium, SeattlePrime timeConference gameFinal
Minnesota
MINN · 2-1
27
Final
Washington
WASH · 3-0
24
Final
Model missed
Spread
WASH -9.5
Moneyline
MINN +300 / WASH -385
Total
O/U 45.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Husky Stadium · Seattle
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00 PM ET
Final
MINN 27 / WASH 24
From the booth
The model favored WASH to win, and the call missed.
Washington's got the edge in this one, sitting at 73 percent to win at home, and the Vegas market is all in on the Huskies with that nine-and-a-half-point spread. The model likes what it's seeing from Washington's offense and defense over the last five games, though Minnesota's been solid defensively too. This is a Big Ten battle, but the home-field advantage and Washington's overall play lately make the Huskies the clear favorites coming into tonight.
Why the model leans WASH
- Favors Washington: WASH+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors Washington: WASH+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Minnesota: MINNDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games