Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETKinnick Stadium, Iowa CityConference gameFinal
#5Ohio State
OSU · 3-1
31
Final
#14Iowa
IOWA · 4-0
14
Final
Model called it
Spread
OSU -14.5
Moneyline
OSU -625 / IOWA +455
Total
O/U 45.5
Weather
65.5°F · 11.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
OSU 31 / IOWA 14
From the booth
The model favored OSU to win, and the call landed.
Big Ten showdown in Iowa City, and the Hawkeyes have climbed to 14 and won 4 straight, including a road upset over Michigan. But Ohio State brings a 3-1 mark and the model loves the Buckeyes at 89%, backing up the 14.5-point spread. The Buckeyes are ranked 5 and averaging 41.3 points over their last 3, while Iowa's allowing 10.7 in that stretch, which tells you where this matchup sits.
Why the model leans OSU
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.16Vegas point spread
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.00AP poll standing edge