Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ETHuntington Bank Stadium, MinneapolisConference gameFinal
Michigan
MICH · 3-1
14
Final
Minnesota
MINN · 3-1
20
Final
Model missed
Spread
MICH -6
Moneyline
MICH -225 / MINN +185
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
57.9°F · 16.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
MICH 14 / MINN 20
From the booth
The model favored MICH to win, and the call missed.
Big Ten battle in Minneapolis between two 3-1 teams. Michigan dropped a 20-19 heartbreaker at home to Iowa, but the Wolverines are clicking on offense, averaging 29.3 points and allowing just 15.7 over their last 3. Our model favors Michigan at 62%, backing the market's 6-point line, with the Wolverines' defensive efficiency and season-long strength carrying the edge.
Why the model leans MICH
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.14Vegas point spread
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.08Betting-market win probability
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge