Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ETOhio Stadium, ColumbusConference gameFinal
Maryland
MD · 2-3
16
Final
#5Ohio State
OSU · 4-1
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
OSU -33.5
Moneyline
MD +3500 / OSU -20000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
72.1°F · 11.4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Ohio Stadium · Columbus
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ET
Final
MD 16 / OSU 45
From the booth
The model favored OSU to win, and the call landed.
The 5th-ranked Buckeyes host Maryland in a Big Ten matchup where Ohio State is operating on another level. Columbus has won 3 straight and is averaging 44 points while holding opponents to 12 over that stretch, while Maryland has dropped 3 in a row and surrendered 45.7 per game. Our model has Ohio State at 98%, well in line with a market laying 33.5 points at home.
Why the model leans OSU
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Maryland: MD+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games