Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ETMichigan Stadium, Ann ArborConference game
Penn State
PSU · 3-3
31%
Win probability
Michigan
MICH · 3-2
69%
Win probability
PSUMICH
Spread
MICH -6.5
Moneyline
PSU +200 / MICH -245
Total
O/U 42.5
Weather
50.5°F · 6.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
From the booth
Big Ten battle in Ann Arbor, and Michigan is trying to shake a 2-game skid after the bye. Penn State is sliding hard, dropping 3 straight and getting torched defensively. Our model favors the Wolverines at 69%, well ahead of a market laying 6.5 points, backed by Michigan's rest edge and a defense that's tightened up over the last 3 games.
Why the model leans MICH
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Penn State: PSU+0.03Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.02Vegas point spread
- MICH