Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETMaverik Stadium, LoganPrime timeFinal
Idaho State
IDST · 0-0
29
Final
Utah State
USU · 0-0
17
Final
Model missed
Spread
USU -13.5
Moneyline
IDST +450 / USU -630
Total
O/U 61.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Maverik Stadium · Logan
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
IDST 29 / USU 17
From the booth
The model favored USU to win, and the call missed.
Utah State's gonna be heavy favorites here at 89 percent to get the win, and the model loves what it sees from the Aggies. They've got the Elo rating advantage, the betting market's backing them, and Vegas has them favored by 13 and a half. Idaho State's got an 11 percent shot to pull off the upset, but they're gonna have their hands full with a Utah State team that's been stingy on defense over its last five games.
Why the model leans USU
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.03Team rating (Elo) edge
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.03Vegas point spread