From the booth

The model favored FRES to win, and the call landed.

Fresno State is sitting pretty here with a 94 percent win probability, and honestly, the Bulldogs should be able to handle Sacramento State in this one. Vegas has got Fresno as a 17 and a half point favorite, and that spreads backed up by what we're seeing on the field, where the Bulldogs have been clicking on both sides of the ball over their last five games. Sacramento State's getting six percent to pull off the upset, but they're going to need a whole lot to go right against a Fresno team that's simply executing at a higher level right now.