Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ETReser Stadium, CorvallisPrime timeFinal
Montana
MONT · 0-0
17
Final
Oregon State
ORST · 0-2
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
ORST -16.5
Moneyline
MONT +530 / ORST -780
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Reser Stadium · Corvallis
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ET
Final
MONT 17 / ORST 52
From the booth
The model favored ORST to win, and the call landed.
Oregon State comes into this one as a heavy favorite with a 91% win probability, and the market is really backing that up with a 16-and-a-half point spread in their favor. The Beavers' defense has been stingy over their last five games, and Vegas is telling you everything you need to know here. Montana's got an uphill climb at just 9%, and there's not much working in the Grizzlies' favor in this matchup.
Why the model leans ORST
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games