From the booth

The model favored UNT to win, and the call missed.

North Texas is sitting as a slight favorite here, 53% to win, and that's because they've been more efficient on offense and outscoring opponents more consistently over their last five games. Texas State gets a small bump from playing at home and that Vegas number sitting around two and a half points, but it's not quite enough to flip this one in the Bobcats' favor. We're looking at a toss-up game where the Mean Green have just enough momentum to grab the edge in this matchup.