From the booth

The model favored FRES to win, and the call landed.

Fresno State comes in as the clear favorite here at 72 percent, and the model likes what it sees with the Bulldogs getting a big boost from that Vegas line of 13 and a half. Rice's defense has been a bright spot lately, but that's not enough to overcome Fresno's home-field advantage and what the betting market is telling us. The Owls are gonna need their offense to step up because this Fresno team looks positioned to get the win at home.